By the time you read this, President Bush will already have made tonight’s speech about the war in Iraq.
I won’t have watched it. I almost never do. They’re always on during feed-bathe-and-put-four-kids-to-bed time. I’ll read it in the morning, but for the most part, I bet I already know what he said.
Here are some excerpts from the speech I didn’t hear: we knew this would be hard, and it has been. We knew there would be setbacks, and there have been. We’re making progress – lots of examples. Setting deadlines for withdrawal is the stupidest thing we could possibly do because it will let the bad guys know two things: one, they can just sit back and wait for us to leave; two, we can be worn down by terrorists.
His opponents are already positioning themselves to criticize him. Senator John Kerry, in today’s New York Times:
“The Bush administration is courting disaster with its current course - a course with no realistic strategy for reducing the risks to our soldiers and increasing the odds for success.
The reality is that the Bush administration's choices have made Iraq into what it wasn't before the war - a breeding ground for jihadists. Today there are 16,000 to 20,000 jihadists and the number is growing. The administration has put itself - and, tragically, our troops, who pay the price every day - in a box of its own making.”
Well. If one were inclined to generosity, one could put Kerry’s statements in a good light by saying he’s filling the role of the loyal opposition. Not being so inclined, I say he’s being opportunistic, positioning himself to take cynical advantage of whatever bad news may come out of Iraq in the future, and the public response to it.
Loyal opposition, cynical opportunist. For the party out of power, they’re really the same thing.
Here’s where Kerry really gives it away: “Our mission in Iraq is harder because the administration…destroyed the Iraqi army through de-Baathification.”
“De-Baathification,” meaning the elimination of the Baath party – the political machine created by Saddam and his sons, sort of the Iraqi equivalent of Germany’s National Socialist (Nazi) Party.
Kerry may not know this (he was only an average-to-below-average student), but following the German surrender in WWII, the Truman administration took heat for leaving former Nazi officials in place. Why? Because those officials knew how to keep the trains running on time.
Even Emperor Sidious, Dark Lord of the Sith, had to depend on the bureaucracy, at least for the first twenty years of his administration.
President Bush didn’t leave the Baathists in place, partly (I assume) for political reasons – these were the guys who enforced Saddam’s evil, after all – and partly to make sure they couldn’t just lay low and regroup later on.
The question is: if we’d left the Baathists in power, in command of the army and the bureaucracy, would Kerry today be commending that decision?
Nope.
Nobody ever said it’s easy, being the loyal opposition. You can have your own policies, sort of, but you really have to adapt to whatever the administration does.
For example, in the 19-teens, Teddy Roosevelt was brutal in his criticism of President Wilson’s isolationism at the start of WWI.
Roosevelt’s sons, who tended to follow their father’s example, were equally critical of FDR (a distant cousin of theirs) for aiding our WWII allies-to-be in the late 1930s.
The Roosevelts were Republicans. Wilson and FDR were Democrats. The Dems were in power, the Pubs opposed them. Until Pearl Harbor, anyway. Then, the Roosevelts themselves signed up and marched off.
In 1999, then-majority whip Tom DeLay was just as critical of President Clinton’s involvement of U.S. forces in the Balkans. “This is his (Clinton’s) war,” DeLay said.
One wonders what he would have said, had either Bush been in office at the time. Something else, I would guess.
President Clinton responded by eviscerating our military’s ability to fight – avoiding casualties – and potential negative public opinion – was more important than getting the job done.
We can expect the opposite from Bush. American and worldwide security, both physical and economic, will be better served by a stable, democratic Iraq. That’s something else Bush said tonight: we’ll stay the course. We’ll see it through. We have to do this, or ten years from now, the sacrifices so far will have been for nothing.
And what do you want to bet: John Kerry will be right there, saying I told you so.
